U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) George Stern
(D) A. Gonzalez
(R) Sheri Davis
40%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
October 09, 2006 09:26 PM UTC
22 Comments
Assuming this e-mail went to Colorado Republicans, the RGA will fly them out of state for GOTV efforts. Very interesting!
I’m assuming this would also hit high R registration areas harder, yes?
Flight, lodging, and a per diem is a bit lavish to qualify as a volunteer effort, IMO. And my goodness, does the RGA have $$$. Don’t most campaigns have to rely on local people donating their time?
They flood targeted districts around the country with members still earning their full-time salary & benefits. Perhaps they’re not called ‘volunteers’ though…
Didn’t the Trailhead Group take a large check from the RGA? I wonder if the RGA now regrets that contribution?
Will Snakehead now have to return the loot?
“Please note that although our sister national committees have fantastic deployment programs, they will not be to focusing on these states that the RGA is targeting.”
The way I read that is: those states don’t have as much congressional activity as Colorado does – so the RGA is trying to rally people in/for those states. The RNC & NRCC already have a significant presence in Colorado so why blow precious resources there when other states could use a kick in the pants. GOTV helps everyone, including governor.
RGA is the biggist 527 in the country and Colorado isn’t the only swing (Gov) state left off the list. That tells me that tightness in the polls isn’t their only criterion.
piece from Tom Reynolds in several weeks. My latest contribution plea was from John McCain. Again, the big thing is vote for our majority. Where is the party of “Contract for America”? This November is turning into a don’t vote for them/don’t vote for them contest. I also got my local candidate flyers and they are as bland as can be. Since when did El Paso Party Republicans expect everyone to believe they are centrists?
“biggist”? By what measure? Waistline?
If you’re talking about money the RGA doesn’t even make the list of the biggest 527s. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/527_group#Top_20_527_groups.2C_2006_election_cycle
is laughing at you, let me help:
http://www.tray.com/…
I read and re-read this email. It seems clear: RGA needs the professional help elsewhere. As in “Beauprez is on his own”. Besides, we have Truebner – the former Political Director of RGA. Much as I like the guy, and in spite of him being PD during the last gubernatorial slaughter of ’04, I don’t think he can turn it out at this point.
As much as I would like the margian to be 15-17, I think that is wrong based on recent polls. I think 10-15 would make more sense.
It is possible that they think Beauprez’s got it in the bag. Or you’re just misreading it entirely and they’re helping Beauprez in ernest–but they’re focusing on other races listed in the memo.
Since this is a red state and Beauprez should be the favorite, I can’t believe that they would sacrifice him for other races in very blue states. Those states all have pretty squishy Republicans running (no mean conservatives) and they would be smart to consolidate power in red states.
And this race is not 15+. That’s wishful lefty stuff. It’s probably close to 10 and in a conservative state like Colorado, that could be erased quickly.
I’m curious is anyone knows how high to race is for the national dems.
“It is possible that they think Beauprez’s got it in the bag.”
It’s also possible O.J. may one day find the real killer.
Keep hoping!
How about Pawlenty in Minnesota and Ehrlich in Maryland.
(and Crist in Florida and Perry in TX and the Nevada race).
We all know you hold on to your currently held seats first before reaching into the grab bag. You’ve simply misread the memo. These are all seats that the GOP wants to gain since it stands to lose some. Beauprez has been targeted by the RNC from day one and he’s going to have a whole lot more support whether from the RGA or not.
This race is still tight, folks. Ritter is in the lead but as I stated before, that could evaporate fast.
It remains to be seen, but I imagine the RNC has to be targeting this state for GOTV if for no other reason than to avoid massive losses in their Congressional races, as well as to push for a takeover of the State House. I doubt they’ll be able to overcome the problems Beauprez has, though.
I don’t see what you’re getting at regarding the other races you list, though. Ehrlich’s going to be losing no matter how hard the GOP tries; Pawlenty’s in a tough battle in a state that’s going to also probably get RNC support due to the number of races up for grabs. Perry and Crist are probably already winning and won’t get support anywhere. So you’ve mentioned a scattering of races that don’t hold together for any reason in my mind.
have been attacking for a month, and Ritter is still up by 15. There hasn’t been evaporation yet.
Maybe if Beauprez had a reason to vote FOR him, he might make some progress. But since he’s completely failed at laying out any sort of agenda or vision for Colorado, it makes it kind of hard.
Also, poor both ways and his fav/unfavs. It’s hard to win elections when most people dislike you.
Moonraker did once or twice post some of the Both Ways’ sound bites as to why someone should vote FOR Beauprez.
It was the traditional stuff about less taxes, less government, etc. Didn’t even try to put much of a new spin on the old bromides.
But you can’t say he’s never given us a reason why someone might for him…..just almost never mentions it anymore!
The plea bargains, the African motor vehicle accident and monkey meat stuff are much crowd pleasers from the Both Ways’ campaign perspective.
From the letter: “This is a critical GOP open seat”
GOP wants to hold Arkansas, not gain it. And besides, in the polling in Arkansas has never shown Beebe without a lead over his Republican opponent.
If you check pollster.com or RCP, you can see that these gov. races are closer than the Colorado one. Even Wisconsin, which I would rate over Illinois, isn’t on there. But then again, they have at least three congressional races that they need to keep hold of there, in comparison to one in Wisconsin.
Ritter lead will go down, which pretty much everybody agrees on. But as it stands, he only needs to sway some of the undecideds to win, not all of the undecided like BB does.
Ehrlich and Steele are toast, Dems hold a 2:1 registration advantage in Maryland and most of those are federal workers and/or people with enough education to know Bush is a moron. You win Montgomery and Prince George’s Counties plus Baltimore and you’re done.
If the Republicans want to waste money in Maryland, one of the nation’s most expensive media markets, be my guest.
As for the Ritter comment, Mason Dixon showed only 11% undecided. ‘nuf said.
what further proof do you need that bb is going down? what a useless waste of time and money….. nows the time to work hard to win back the house…..